What is Xmarket?

Xmarket lets you trade and turn your knowledge into profit across crypto, sports, politics & more.

Introduction

Xmarket is a real time prediction market platform where traders can profit from their knowledge by buying and selling shares on the outcomes of future events, from crypto prices and sports results to politics, tech, and culture.

Prediction markets combine news, polls, and expert analysis into one live, tradable price that reflects the market’s collective view of an event’s probability. Unlike pundits or polls, these odds are constantly updated by traders with skin in the game, making them more dynamic and often more accurate.

It means that you can easily find variety of questions and topics that you actually care about and have more opportunities to leverage your knowledge to win USDX!

If a market doesn't exist... Create a market yourself!

Quick Overview

On Xmarket, you trade shares representing event outcomes, for example:

“Will TikTok be banned in the U.S. in 2025?”

• Shares are priced between 0.01 and 99.99 USDX, representing the probability of a real-world event occurring. The likelihood ranges from 0.01% to 99.99%.

• Each pair of “YES” and “NO” shares is fully backed by 1 USDX.

• New shares are created when opposing traders agree on odds (the total price of YES + NO = 1 USDX).

• Winning outcome shares are redeemed for 1 USDX each when the market resolves.

• You can sell your shares before the event resolves to lock in profits or cut losses.

• No risk of being “banned” for winning too much.

The key difference from traditional betting: - You’re never betting against “the house”. - Every trade is peer to peer with another Xmarket user.

Understanding Prices

Prices = Probabilities.

If “YES” shares for Miami Heat to win the 2025 NBA Finals are trading at 0.18 USDX, the market is implying an 18% chance of that outcome.

These odds are purely driven by supply and demand. Xmarket doesn’t set them, just like a stock exchange doesn’t set stock prices. Traders move the price by buying or selling shares based on their analysis.

Making money on Xmarket

In the Miami Heat example:

• If you think their real chance is higher than 18%, you buy YES shares at 0.18 USDX.

• If they win, each YES share pays 1 USDX, netting an 0.82 USDX profit per share.

• If they lose, YES shares are worth 0 and NO shares pay out instead.

You can also sell your shares anytime before the market resolves at the current price, allowing you to react to breaking news or momentum shifts.

Why Prediction Markets Are So Accurate

Traders are financially motivated to be right, which pushes prices toward the true probability as more informed participants join. Academic research and real world results show that prediction markets often outperform polls and pundits in accuracy.

On Xmarket, every trade you make not only gives you the chance to profit but also contributes to more accurate, unbiased, and real time event probabilities.

If you have an edge, whether from analysis, expertise, or early information, Xmarket lets you turn that insight into profit while making the market smarter for everyone.